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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at ArtofCards DTR Store Championship

decks
3 (8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19 4-13-2
overall winrate
26.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.1% avg ELO -6.1 per match
expected value
36.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1332 · median 1304 · range 1205–1489 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1139 Q1 1316 Q3 1481 1633
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 67% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 66.7% 9 2-6-1 27.8% 34.6% 36.9% -6.0
Fire Crux Mage 22.2% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 42.8% -4.6
Horse and Taxes 13.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.6% -23.1
Wind Wakeup Combo 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.2% -14.1
Fire Exia 8.3% 0
Water Genbu 8.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Fire Oblation 5.6% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 40.7% -7.0
Fire Aetherwing 2.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.9% +14.2
Fire Astra Cleric 2.8% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.8% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.8% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/31564/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike